Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 127.914521 148.322630 172.375837 203.209680 242.270368 290.930292 3.574969e+02
2025-02-16 100.665274 125.579305 158.265720 205.721866 275.500015 379.140226 5.554512e+02
2025-02-23 86.143610 112.533007 149.645970 208.331754 304.579846 468.989566 8.082654e+02
2025-03-02 76.905960 104.092991 144.471083 212.939372 336.309508 576.055819 1.178541e+03
2025-03-09 69.517758 96.755670 139.012572 214.927204 363.302749 687.957632 1.685130e+03
2025-03-16 62.331166 88.529806 130.499572 209.261244 373.328942 769.333835 2.230024e+03
2025-03-23 58.802765 85.467756 129.792484 217.370646 414.589851 955.046159 3.554172e+03
2025-03-30 53.372503 78.623468 121.519162 208.936232 415.533242 1030.624537 4.624395e+03
2025-04-06 50.238213 75.223773 118.813538 211.140953 443.288152 1216.059105 7.288835e+03
2025-04-13 47.117750 71.498653 114.977184 210.102580 462.439079 1392.344749 1.140216e+04
2025-04-20 45.873885 70.882897 116.842515 222.055676 523.581774 1823.095019 2.746995e+04
2025-04-27 44.945213 70.706921 119.498986 236.515330 600.748879 2483.862907 1.074191e+05
2025-05-04 41.831705 66.529596 114.177476 231.813491 618.019490 2884.631296 4.240581e+05
2025-05-11 39.673158 63.971761 111.963874 234.989750 668.717068 3725.357899 8.400252e+08
2025-05-18 37.754917 61.659338 109.919092 238.131969 722.986836 4887.786451 NaN
2025-05-25 36.209922 59.903156 108.817508 243.684259 793.723772 6783.568035 NaN
2025-06-01 34.601199 57.861983 106.796314 246.082421 853.586187 9236.393011 NaN
2025-06-08 32.573977 54.810760 102.103282 239.251306 862.096235 10916.389701 NaN
2025-06-15 31.712560 54.041619 102.605990 249.032523 974.467920 18172.692207 NaN
2025-06-22 29.819982 51.005104 97.385951 238.859872 958.698900 20459.708932 NaN
2025-06-29 28.765743 49.631847 96.029219 241.516049 1031.457164 31859.333780 NaN
2025-07-06 27.598653 47.933983 93.690586 240.264792 1078.345596 47141.297465 NaN
2025-07-13 27.243533 47.926117 95.551294 254.696002 1266.829262 142924.183035 NaN